nav emailalert searchbtn searchbox tablepage yinyongbenwen piczone journalimg journalInfo journalinfonormal searchdiv searchzone qikanlogo popupnotification paper paperNew
2024, 05, v.56 55-61
Short-term Forecast of Subway Passenger Flow Based on ASTLSTM
Email: yangyf@motcats.ac.cn;
DOI: 10.13705/j.issn.1671-6841.2023040
Received:   2023-02-10
Received Year:   2023
Revised:   2024-05-27
Accepted:   2025-10-24
Accepted Year:   2025
Review Duration(Year):   3
Published:   2023-09-12
Publication Date:   2023-09-12
Online:   2023-09-12
Mobile reading
Abstract:

The prediction of subway passenger flow was an important part of the intelligent transportation system. Currently, most existing prediction models had limited modeling of the spatiotemporal correlation of subway passenger flow and could not take into account the impact of weather factors such as air quality, resulting in low accuracy in predicting subway passenger flow. To address these issues, a short-term prediction model of subway passenger flow based on the attention mechanism of spatio-temporal long short-term memory network(ASTLSTM) was proposed. Firstly, data preprocessing was performed. Then, attention mechanism was combined with graph convolutional network(GCN) and convolutional neural network(CNN) to mine the spatiotemporal correlation in subway data. External features from air quality data were extracted using long short-term memory(LSTM) network. Finally, feature fusion was performed to obtain the final prediction results for subway passenger flow. The experimental results showed that the ASTLSTM model had higher accuracy in short-term prediction of subway passenger flow compared to typical models such as LSTM and Conv LSTM.

References

[1] 王瑞山,靳澜涛.地铁场所踩踏事故的生成特征与风险治理:2008年以来15起典型事故的考察[J].中国人民公安大学学报(社会科学版),2016,32(4):141-148.WANG R S,JIN L T.Generation characteristics and risk management of stampede accidents in subway places—investigation of 15 typical accidents since 2008[J].Journal of People′s public security university of China (social sciences edition),2016,32(4):141-148.

[2] CHARBUTY B,ABDULAZEEZ A.Classification based on decision tree algorithm for machine learning[J].Journal of applied science and technology trends,2021,2(1):20-28.

[3] 杨晓敏.改进灰狼算法优化支持向量机的网络流量预测[J].电子测量与仪器学报,2021,35(3):211-217.YANG X M.Improved gray wolf algorithm to optimize support vector machine for network traffic prediction[J].Journal of electronic measurement and instrumentation,2021,35(3):211-217.

[4] ZIMMERMAN N,PRESTO A A,KUMAR S P N,et al.A machine learning calibration model using random forests to improve sensor performance for lower-cost air quality monitoring[J].Atmospheric measurement techniques,2018,11(1):291-313.

[5] ZHANG L Z,ALHARBE N R,LUO G C,et al.A hybrid forecasting framework based on support vector regression with a modified genetic algorithm and a random forest for traffic flow prediction[J].Tsinghua science and technology,2018,23(4):479-492.

[6] 李丽辉,朱建生,强丽霞,等.基于随机森林回归算法的高速铁路短期客流预测研究[J].铁道运输与经济,2017,39(9):12-16.LI L H,ZHU J S,QIANG L X,et al.Study on forecast of high-speed railway short-term passenger flow based on random forest regression[J].Railway transport and economy,2017,39(9):12-16.

[7] 赵建立,石敬诗,孙秋霞,等.基于混合深度学习的地铁站进出客流量短时预测[J].交通运输系统工程与信息,2020,20(5):128-134.ZHAO J L,SHI J S,SUN Q X,et al.Short-time inflow and outflow prediction of metro stations based on hybrid deep learning[J].Journal of transportation systems engineering and information technology,2020,20(5):128-134.

[8] ZHU H L,XIE Y W,HE W,et al.A novel traffic flow forecasting method based on RNN-GCN and BRB[J].Journal of advanced transportation,2020,2020:1-11.

[9] 陈俊彦,黄雪锋,韦俊宇,等.基于多图时空注意力的轨道交通客流预测模型[J].郑州大学学报(理学版),2023,55(4):39-45.CHEN J Y,HUANG X F,WEI J Y,et al.A prediction method of rail transit passenger flow based on multi-graph spatial and temporal attention[J].Journal of Zhengzhou university (natural science edition),2023,55(4):39-45.

[10] GUO S N,LIN Y F,FENG N,et al.Attention based spatial-temporal graph convolutional networks for traffic flow forecasting[C]//Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence.Alto Palo:AAAI Press,2019:922-929.

[11] 赵昱博.基于Conv-LSTM的短时交通流量预测方法[C]//第十五届中国智能交通年会.深圳:中国工信出版集团,2020:344-352.ZHAO Y B.Short-term traffic flow prediction method based on Conv-LSTM[C]//The 15th China Intelligent Transportation Annual Conference.Shenzhen:China Industry and Information Publishing Group,2022:344-352.

[12] ZHANG J L,CHEN F,CUI Z Y,et al.Deep learning architecture for short-term passenger flow forecasting in urban rail transit[J].IEEE transactions on intelligent transportation systems,2021,22(11):7004-7014.

[13] YANG B L,SUN S L,LI J Y,et al.Traffic flow prediction using LSTM with feature enhancement[J].Neurocomputing,2019,332:320-327.

Basic Information:

DOI:10.13705/j.issn.1671-6841.2023040

China Classification Code:TP311.13;TP18;U293.13

Citation Information:

[1]TIAN Zhao,CHENG Yujie,ZHANG Qianzhong ,et al.Short-term Forecast of Subway Passenger Flow Based on ASTLSTM[J].Journal of Zhengzhou University(Natural Science Edition),2024,56(05):55-61.DOI:10.13705/j.issn.1671-6841.2023040.

Fund Information:

河南省重点研发与推广专项基金项目(212102310039); 河南省重大公益专项基金项目(201300210300); 综合交通运输大数据应用技术交通运输行业重点实验室开放课题(2022B1201)

Received:  

2023-02-10

Received Year:  

2023

Revised:  

2024-05-27

Accepted:  

2025-10-24

Accepted Year:  

2025

Review Duration(Year):  

3

Published:  

2023-09-12

Publication Date:  

2023-09-12

Online:  

2023-09-12

quote

GB/T 7714-2015
MLA
APA
Search Advanced Search